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Mecklai Corner Special Report Forex Update Other Reports

 MECKLAI CORNER
| Forex - Daily | Fixed Income - Daily | Weekly view |


Forex - Daily         Wed, 25-Oct-2000 15:24:14 IST (GMT+5:30)
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Interbank Indian Rupee Markets (Rupees per Dollar) (Last updated 10:30am)


Spot 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months 12 Months
Bank sells at 46.4675 46.7425 46.9925 47.4775 47.7275
Bank buys at 46.4650 46.7100 46.9800 47.4650 47.7150

FX Forwards (Percentage)


1 Month 3 Month 6 Months 12 Months
USD Libor 6.62 6.76 6.69 6.68
Forward Premium 6.72 5.77 5.07 4.57
Implied Deposit 13.34 12.53 11.76 11.25
Sovereign Zero Coupon 10.78 10.78 10.77 10.77
Arbitrage -2.55 -1.75 -0.98 -0.48

Analysis

Rupee closes weaker: Forwards marginally lower

After opening at 46.38/40, the Rupee traded weaker through the day on good corporate Dollar demand. It touched a low of 46.45 to finally close at a new low of 46.43/44 per Dollar. Corporate & FII Dollar demand prompted the Rupee to slide to these levels. FII's have been net sellers to the tune of $ 44.1 million in the stock market over the month. Besides, the fall in Euro and other currencies has resulted in the appreciation of rupee's value in REER terms and should keep the rupee under pressure over the coming days. A cut in the RBI repo rate has prompted forwards to slide with the bench mark six month closing at 4.34% p.a vs previous close of 4.35%.

Euro's woes continue: Yen strengthens

Negative economic fundamentals & continuous selling pressure kept Euro on the defensive through the day. A half-yearly economic report from Germany's six leading economic institutes confirmed suspicions that Euroland was more vulnerable to rising oil prices than the US or Japan. If the Euro receives no mention in the G-20 meeting, markets could be more encouraged to test the Euro's downside. Talk of repatriation of Japanese capital amid increasing volatility in the global financial markets has led to USD/JPY slipping below 108.00 levels. GBP on the other hand remained steady enjoying its safe haven status.
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e-mecklai

This report is prepared by emecklai.com .(http://www.mecklai.com/.)






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