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Population of India - Analysis


India will overcome China in population by 2030 : UN

Quick Facts: Indian Census 2001
16.7% of world population in 2.4% of world surface area - India 933 females per 1000 males as against 927 in 1991 census
Only 75 males and 54 females literate out of every 100 29 life adds to population every minute from 24.79 births and 8.88 deaths per 1000
Uttar Pradesh most populated, estimated more than Pakistan's population. West Bengal most dense and Arunachal Pradesh least.


India is the coming China. In economy, we can put our expectations high but in population it is of sure success story by 2030. The new India will seam like the world in one country.

The United Nations "World Population Prospects", released on 24th February, 2005 in New York, estimates that there will be 1,395m people in India by 2025, and 1,593m in 2050. China will be populated by 1,441m by 2025, and 1,392 in 2050.

The report also mentions that the population of developed countries will remain the same but the 50 least developed countries is projected to more than double.

Theory of Population

"The poor is the maker of their own poverty by marrying improvidently"
- Malthus

In eighteenth century, Plato (De republica, V) and Aristotle (De republica, II, VI) maintained that marriage and the birth of children should be regulated and restricted by law to keep the means of support balance for all the citizens. In some city-states of ancient Greece, abortion, infanticide, and unnatural love were recommended for this region.

Fredrick the Great (most famous German rulers for all time for his military success) once said that the number of the population constitutes the wealth of the State. Of course he was right but during his time over-population had not occurred in any civilized country, or it was prevented by disease, plagues, wars, and various forms of economic hardship.

Gianmaria Ortes was the first author to deal systematically with the problem in his work "Reflessioni sulla populazione per rapporto all' economia nazionale" in the year 1790.

Eight years later Thomas Malthus (1766-1834), a political economist came up with a theory, now it is widely known as Malthus Theory. In his theory he explained that population would eventually reach a resource limit. Any further increase would result in a population crash, caused by famine, disease, or war. He suggested that only birth control could prevent crisis. He also mentioned that the poor is the maker of their own poverty by marrying improvidently.

Few optimists economists like Bastiat in France, List (1789-1846) in Germany, and Henry C. Carey in America have rejected the Malthusian theory. Spencer theory of population says that population becomes automatically adjusted to subsistence at that level which is consonant with the highest progress.

Whatever be the theory. Whether to go with it or not is never a question especially when give a closer look upon population in india. Here the practical always work out. The more number of people, the lesser employment. The lesser employment, the more dependance. The more dependance, the lower standart of living. The lower standard of living, the lesser happiness. Hence, by any means, rapid growth of population has to be checked, in India.


Check upon population

Women are the major targets of family planning programmes in India

India was the first country to launch a national programme in 1951, emphasizing family planning to the extent necessary for reducing birth rates but it did not show any change due to decline in death rates simultaneously. Women were the major targets of family planning programmes.

Survey says that 67 per cent female against 3 per cent male accepted the most widely used method of family planning i.e. sterilization.

The First Five Year Plan called for an explicit population policy and considered family planning as a step towards improvement in health of mothers and children.
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Population which Immigrated to India

7,500 Bangladeshis detected in NE in the past three years

Bangladeshis and Nepalis have been immigrating illegally to India mainly from northeastern states. Poverty-stricken Bangladeshis immigrate to India in search of better opportunities. The condition is going to be worse in the coming days as the possibilities of population of Bangladesh is to be double by 2050.
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Rural Population which Migrated to Urban Areas

25% of the country's poor live in urban areas
31% of the urban population is poor


Traditional rural-urban migration exists in India as villagers seek to improve opportunities and lifestyles. In 1991, 39 million people migrated in rural-urban patterns of which 54% were female. Caste and tribe systems complicate these population movements.
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